A few days ago, the NATO/Al Qaeda Alliance[1]
(hereinafter referred to as NAQA for reasons of convenience) launched
what it declared would be a knock-out blow against the government of Syria.
It began with a suicide attack which killed
four of the Syrian government’s top officials, and was followed up by something
called Operation Damascus Volcano, in which the Al Qaeda portion of NAQA
launched an “assault” on the Syrian capital, and allegedly overran huge parts
of it. If one was to believe the breathless reports in the “international”
media, the “hated” “regime” of President Bashar al-Assad was about to fall.
Assad himself, as the tale went, had already fled to the port of Latakia.
It was all propaganda, of course, as
rapidly became clear over the next few days, as the Syrian military annihilated
some of the NAQA gangs and drove the rest out, rapidly regaining control over
the city. The gangs which had been forced out went on to attack the largest
Syrian city, Aleppo to the north, and as of this writing are being destroyed
there in turn, to the fury of the Empire[2].
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| Syrian Army soldiers put up their national flag after driving out NAQA. |
These battles have a significance out of
all proportion to their actual military impact, and that is what we’ll talk
about in the course of this article.
Even though the Syrian government has
apparently successfully survived this round, it would be naive to think that it’s
out of the woods. The Empire will keep on trying to overthrow Assad, by using the
Al Qaeda component of NAQA above all else. Since these Islamic Holy Warriors
are basically jihadist cannon fodder, they can be easily replaced - kill a
thousand and another thousand will come, as they are coming from all over;
Britain[3] to Bangladesh, Chechnya to Pakistan. There’s an
inexhaustible supply of jihadists available, and as long as they are fighting
the common enemy, the Empire is more than happy to have them on its side.
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| NAQA terrorists of the "Free Syrian Army" |
Therefore, at first sight, even if it wins
a succession of military victories, however overwhelming, in the long term Assad's government is unlikely to survive. It’s,
after all, not easy to arm, train, clothe and feed a regular army in the middle
of a major civil war/terrorist campaign (however you want to term it) in order
to replace losses and maintain sufficient superiority over enemy numbers in
order to keep winning victories. However, as always, first sight impressions don’t
necessarily tell the whole tale. Assad still has several cards to play.
One important factor is the role of Russia
and China. It’s more than obvious that if it weren’t for the principled stand
taken by these two countries, Syria would have been under round the clock Libya-style
NAQA air bombing right now (though with somewhat more trepidation than in
Libya, as we’ll discuss). Russia and
China, however, need to go beyond words and step up real economic and military
support, with weapons and logistics. Just blocking the NATO air forces isn’t
going to do the job if NAQA continues to arm, train and finance the Al Qaeda gangs
on the ground.
If, though, there's adequate Russian and
Chinese military and economic (not just political and diplomatic) support,
Assad can continue to hold on to the major power centres and the non Sunni
areas. Despite the impression given by the usual Imperial propaganda, Assad is
far from being “universally hated.”[4] The Syrian minorities – the Christians,
Alawites, Druze, and Shiites are on his side along with a large section of the
Sunni Arabs as well. Even the Kurds have declined to join in against him, and
after he gave them autonomy, it’s the Empire’s NATO tool, Turkey, which is
threatening them with invasion[5].
Therefore, despite all the recent talk of
an “endgame” in Syria, it’s far from over.
The second factor is exploiting the way the
Empire conducts wars these days. In order, in fact, to understand the current
course of events in Syria, it’s vital to comprehend the modern Imperial way of
waging war.
Ever since Kosovo, (with one exception) this
is how the Empire does war: it begins by selecting a country for “regime
change.” It then picks out a "rebel" group, promotes it as "freedom
fighters", arms and trains it, and then uses it to launch attacks on the
government of the target nation - attacks the government has no choice but to
counter with armed force. These attacks are typically carried out inside
cities, which are now the preferred guerrilla battleground, just as the forests
once used to be. The idea is to compel the government to strike back in these
urban jungles of concrete, with inevitable civilian casualties.
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| NAQA urban guerrillas |
And in case there are no civilian
casualties, massacres or “impending massacres” are invented and/or arranged and
blamed on the government forces. We saw this in Kosovo, we saw this in Libya
(remember the tales of massacres about to happen in Benghazi unless NATO stepped in). We’ve seen it in Syria, for
example in Houla, where NAQA carried out a massacre[6] and blamed it
on the government; and at Tremseh, where terrorist gangs were destroyed by the
army[7] but it was passed off as a “civilian massacre” until the
truth reluctantly leaked out.
Once these government counter-assaults take
place, they are then cited by the Empire's propaganda-mongers as a
"humanitarian crisis" which requires armed intervention. This armed
intervention means relatively risk-free massed air attacks against the
government forces, which have been drawn into action by the tame terrorists and
are therefore concentrated into easily bombarded target areas. If these
government forces stay in concentration against the terrorists, they can be
destroyed from the air; if they disperse, they can be overwhelmed by the
terrorists. Either way, the terrorists then have a free run into the capital.
This has been the technique used in Kosovo
in 1999, in Afghanistan in 2001, in Somalia in 2006-7, in Libya last year and
it’s now planned for Syria. The only time it wasn't used was against Iraq in
2003. There were two reasons: first, the only "rebels" the Empire
could procure were Ahmed Chalabi's ragtag faction, which was so pathetic that
it had no presence in Iraq at all and had to be flown in after the invasion. More
importantly, the Bush regime had no intention of sharing the glory of being the
"liberators" of Iraq with anybody.
This is also the technique planned for
Iran, as it happens - that's why the Empire is backing the Mujahideen-e-Khalq,
a terrorist group which even the Empire itself calls a terror group. It openly
hosted them in camps in Iraq, its leaders are feted in Washington, and top
members of the Imperial government are trying hard[8] to have it
declared a non-terrorist group.
You'll note that the neo-imperial way of
combat has some requirements:
1. There has to be a reasonably powerful terrorist group on the ground. If one can't be
found, it has to be created, by creative recruitment and throwing money around to trigger defections.
If one can't be created, one has to be imported, if necessary under a new name.
Al Qaeda, as I said, is a ready resource for this.
2. The second requirement is that the
targeted nation's armed forces (especially air defence) can't be too strong; if they are, then aerial intervention becomes
too costly and after Iraq the Empire is no longer very keen to be seen carrying
out imperial aggressions alone, without the participation of its European vassals.
Therefore, an important part of the technique is to try and choke off military
supplies, like NATO is attempting to do to Syria. You'll notice that NATO gets
hysterical at the notion of air defence equipment being sent to Syria from
Russia, even though these can't be used to "attack civilians". If one
is to take NATO’s concern for civilians seriously, one can’t find a reasonable explanation
for this reaction.
3. A
dedicated propaganda campaign. This is very important, but easy to arrange,
such imperial organs as the BBC and CNN are ready to hand. This propaganda isn’t
aimed at the right wing, who are in any case either reflexively happy to go to war or in favour of allowing the foreigners to fight it out amongst
themselves; it’s aimed at the centre and
the so-called “left”, which in most lexicons ought to be called centre-right (what I call the faux-liberal class).
In these propaganda endeavours, Al Jazeera
will play a propaganda role on the Empire’s side. This channel is now stamped
PROPERTY OF THE EMIR OF QATAR, and Qatar is the primary Imperial tool in the
Arab world today; it was Qatar which armed the terrorists in Libya and is
arming them in Syria now, with the Empire’s blessings. But most people only
remember the Al Jazeera of 2003, and think it’s the same courageous channel of
the Iraq invasion days, so it has a credibility it ceased to deserve years ago.
The propaganda campaign can get almost
absurdly crude at times, as in this photoshopped image from an Austrian paper[9].
Under headlines saying (in German), ASSAD’S
ARMY ROLLS WITH TANKS TO “MOTHER OF ALL BATTLES” and US WARNS OF REGIME
MASSACRE IN ALEPPO, it shows a couple with a child walking past ruined
buildings. Even from the proportions, the photo looks more than a little
unconvincing; and, of course, it’s simply copied and pasted from a far less
warlike scene, as the original picture below it shows. (Actually, it wasn’t
even Aleppo in the background of the picture; those ruins are from Homs) [10].
Alternatively, like the BBC did, decade-old
photos from elsewhere can be passed off as coming out of Syria, today[11].
This is the latest in a long line of convenient “mistakes” by the BBC, which
should rename itself the British Bullshit Corporation.
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| Source |
Other propaganda is directed towards
putting a spin on real news. One typical way is to keep reporting battles which ended (in a government victory) days ago as though they are going on right at the moment. This is why,
days after the Al Qaeda terrorist gangs had been cleared out of Damascus, you
still kept coming across news items which claimed fighting was going on right
at the moment, citing unnamed “activists”, of course. Another is, when the
truth can’t be hidden any longer, to carefully tilt the way it’s to be exposed.
For instance, this is what I had to say elsewhere on the internet about an
article in the British Telegraph
titled Assad Regime Retakes Control of
Damascus Suburbs:[12]
“What I love about this article is that
it's such a perfect illustration of the NATO lie machine in action when it has
to reluctantly admit facts. Since it can no longer pretend that the legitimate
government of Syria is about to roll over and surrender, and it has to admit
the terrorists are on the run, it complains that the Syrian army is
"brutally" crushing the "rebels". Yeah, if you attack the
capital of a sovereign state and it blows you away, you're the "good
guys" and they're the "brutal evildoers" - if you're on the
right side of the neo-neocon Western imperialist machine.
“Just read over the article, about how the poor "rebels" (Al Qaeda terrorists) armed only with AK47s and a few rockets are being blown away with tank shells, and you can almost see the subtext: arm the poor defenceless rebels, send troops and planes to their aid! Even the reluctantly admitted fact that they "executed" (murdered) five captured soldiers was virtually because they were "forced" to.
“Just read over the article, about how the poor "rebels" (Al Qaeda terrorists) armed only with AK47s and a few rockets are being blown away with tank shells, and you can almost see the subtext: arm the poor defenceless rebels, send troops and planes to their aid! Even the reluctantly admitted fact that they "executed" (murdered) five captured soldiers was virtually because they were "forced" to.
“The propaganda extends even to the title, which is, you'll notice, "Assad
Regime Retakes Control of Damascus Suburbs", not "Syrian Government
Forces Retake Control..." You're being told right at the outset whom you
should take the "bad guys" to be.
“I'd thought the British lie machine was more subtle, but I guess American
influence in propaganda is rubbing off on them.”
Even otherwise respected journalists like
Robert Fisk [13] have been co-opted into this campaign. Fisk, once a
courageous reporter of the Zionist oppression of Palestinians, falls into the
trap of condemning the Syrian and Russian governments by repeating the unproven
claims of civilian massacres, which are, of course, based on the accounts of
those same unnamed “activists” who – when unmasked – have invariably turned out
to be NAQA tools [14][15] originating from the Imperial colony of
Britain.
You’ll have noticed that these propaganda
sources are invariably European. There’s a reason for that: the Empire wants
the European vassals to take the lead in attacking Syria. The Nobel Peace
Prizident has little appetite for unilateral action a la his predecessor.
4. Then there's the need for a friendly vassal nation on the border of
the target country, to host bases for arming and training terrorists and
airports close enough to launch air raids. Against Kosovo, Albania was the
base; against Afghanistan, Pakistan was; Tunisia, Egypt etc served the purpose
against Libya and Turkey is doing the job against Syria. Against Iran, Iraq was
planned as the base of operations until the Maliki government began cosying up
to Tehran; and now that Iraq’s refused to join the anti-Syrian coalition, Al
Qaeda immediately began carrying out full scale attacks in Baghdad and
elsewhere. Wonder why?
Keeping in mind the Imperial way of war,
then, what are Assad’s options?
He has to try and disrupt the enemy’s plans
as much as possible by messing up the four requirements I mentioned. These
four require different strategies, and all can’t be managed at the same level.
First, Assad’s not got a hope in the
propaganda war, since NAQA will simply claim whatever he says is a lie, and it
controls the “international media”. Even so, as a general rule, the Empire’s
terrified of the truth leaking out. This is why it attacked TV stations in
Belgrade and Tripoli. This is why it keeps blocking the Syrian news agency
website, SANA. This is why its Al Qaeda
allies also attacked a private TV
station in Syria which was pro-Assad, without a peep of protest from the
countries of NATO. But, on a whole, only those people who have functioning
brains will remain unconvinced by NAQA propaganda; and how many of them are
there?
Then, in the murky little episode in June[16]
where a Turkish RF4E jet was downed, Assad would seem to have already proved
his air defences are strong enough to make it costly for NATO murdermongers to
attack. It’s not a coincidence that immediately afterwards, the Empire’s focus
switched from “no fly zones” to openly providing training and material support
to the Al Qaeda units on the ground. NAQA seems to have decided that at least
at this stage of the war a Libya style aerial campaign would not be a great
idea.
Therefore, Assad has to concentrate on
knocking out the Empire’s proxies on the ground, by which, of course, I mean
the Al Qaeda component of NAQA. The other gangs exist but are mostly
irrelevant; in these situations it’s always the jihadists who do the actual
fighting. And from recent events, it would seem that this is what he’s decided
to do.
Now, to the militarily illiterate people
who form the chattering classes whose opinion’s targeted by the propagandists I
mentioned earlier, Assad is on the ropes[17]. The way Damascus
Volcano was projected, it seemed as though the NAQA ground forces took Damascus
by storm like a conquering army, but of course it wasn’t like that. Damascus
and Aleppo were infiltrated [18] by small terrorist groups, which
gathered until a critical mass was concentrated, and once the suicide bombing
(significantly, the western lie-media stopped calling it a “suicide bombing”
almost immediately and started calling it an “explosion” as though it was some
kind of accident) took place, the terrorist gangs launched attacks on police
stations and small, isolated army units. In street-fighting terms, it’s called
a “sucker punch” – a blow landed when the opponent isn’t looking.
The problem with such “sucker punches”, of
course, is that even if they knock the opponent down, they are only effective
if the opponent stays down. If he
gets right back up, then one’s in trouble unless one has a big brother standing
by to help. And, because of Russia and China in the UN and the shooting down of
the Turkish plane, there was no NATO big brother standing by to help. And once
the Syrian government struck back, the NAQA gangs were out in the open, marked
down for speedy destruction.
There’s
an analogy: the Tet Offensive in Vietnam in 1968[19], when Viet Cong
guerrillas infiltrated and attacked multiple towns, capturing Hue and entering
the compound of the US embassy in Saigon. That turned out to be another failed
knock out blow, and cost the Viet Cong so badly that the rest of the war was
essentially carried on by regular North Vietnamese People’s Army units, not
guerrillas. Like the Damascus Volcano, once the other side reacted, the actual
military result of the Tet Offensive was to bring lightly armed guerrillas into
the open, where they could be speedily destroyed by regular forces whose
firepower they were incapable of matching.
Therefore, Assad’s best option is to allow
Al Qaeda gangs to make massed attacks, draw them into kill boxes like Aleppo,
and destroy them as completely as possible. These attacks can actually be used
as a way of winning defensive victories. Assad can’t win offensive victories since he can’t carry the war into Turkey or Al
Qaeda controlled western Iraq, and if he assaults Al Qaeda gangs in the Syrian
countryside they’ll just disperse and regroup to attack his stretched out
forces. So his best strategy consists of concentrating around major cities, and
waiting for NAQA to launch these massed attacks, and destroy them as they come.
This won’t allow him to win the war, but it
will serve to prolong the conflict as
long as possible. Now, as we’ve seen in Libya, even before the terrorist/NATO
alliance captured Tripoli, the terrorists were already fighting among
themselves. If Assad can keep fighting long enough, the various terrorist
factions will inevitably disintegrate into mutually warring groups. At that
time, Assad can try to win some of them over to his side. The Russians used
this to great effect in Chechnya, where during the 1999 war, many of the
militias which had opposed them in 1995 now fought on their side. Even if Assad
fails to actually persuade any groups to come over, the suspicion that some of
their number will defect will raise divisions and infighting between the
terrorist gangs.
Also, let’s remember that the Empire and
NAQA don’t have endless time; they’re operating on political and economic
compulsions of their own, such as the need to run pipelines across northern
Syria from Kurdish areas of Iraq[20]. Turkey can’t keep hosting Al
Qaeda gangs endlessly either without imploding into violence itself, and its
own Kurdish rebels are again getting active already. And it may well be that
the Zionist entity may finally decide to invade Syria, which will immediately
force the terror gangs to unite against them. They can’t wait for Assad to lose
a grinding battle of attrition, which means they will have to push things too,
and there will be more Damascus Volcano-like attempts which will allow the
Syrian government to exterminate more massed groups of terrorists. NAQA is
getting more desperate by the day.[21]
I predict another major attempt to create a
“knock out blow” soon, while the world’s attention is diverted to the Olympics
being held in the Empire’s British colony. The most likely will be an attempt
to assassinate Assad himself, or his family, as Imperial War Minister Leon Panetta has threatened[22] . It will probably not succeed, because after the suicide
bombing, Assad’s security will be much more stringent.
But that doesn’t mean NAQA won’t try.
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| "Defeated" Syrian Army troops in Damascus after defeating NAQA |
Sources:
