By now anyone remotely interested in the
conflict in Ukranazistan will be aware that Russia terminated the Grain Deal
that’s been in effect since 22 July 2022 and which allowed Ukranazistan to
export grain from Odessa. In all probability the majority of those who are
aware of it will have been made awar of it by the media shrieking that this
will cause starvation in poor countries.
Will it?
This article,[1] for instance, ends with:
"Terminating the grain deal will only bring
higher food costs and shortages for countries that import agricultural products
from Ukraine."
Here's the truth about where the grain
from Ukranazistan goes:[2]
"China has been the main destination for cargo
exports of Ukrainian grain at 8 million tonnes, followed by Spain at 6 million
tonnes and Turkey at 3.2 million tonnes."
Only 2.5% of Ukrainian grain went to poor
or developing countries according to the UN official data.
Low-income
countries received 2.5% of the over 32 million tonnes of grain exported under
the Black Sea Grain Initiative, according to figures by the United Nations
(UN).
Of the 6 million tonnes sent to Spain, the
vast majority went to feed pigs to make jamon.
The majority of the 3.2 million tonnes to
Erdoğanistan was processed into flour and sent right back to
Ukranazistan.
So, no, it won't.
In fact, it won’t even significantly raise
wheat prices, as Moon Of Alabama points out: [3]
“More wheat is coming to the markets from other
producers than Ukraine. During the next year, even without grain from Ukraine,
prices for wheat and corn may actually come down:
World
wheat supplies are strong following exceptionally high exports from Australia
and Russia and a rebound in Canadian shipments after droughts disrupted last
year’s season. After falling for years, global stocks may finally rise in 2023.
As for corn, Ukraine’s shortfall may well be filled by expected record sales
from Brazil, reckons Alexis Ellender of Kpler, a data firm.
So this is much ado about nothing. Globally Ukraine
just isn't important at all.”
Of course you wouldn’t know this from the
usual media suspects, whose primary purpose is to blame Russia for everything.
If there is anything Russia is
to be blamed for, it’s for signing the grain deal in the first place.
What were the terms of the grain deal?
Ships from Odessa and Nikolayev would carry Ukranazistani grain – wheat and
maize – to Erdoğanistan (that’s Turkey to you) where it would be inspected by
Russian and Turkish officials to ascertain that there were no military supplies
on board, after which it would be shipped on elsewhere.
In return Russian grain would be allowed
free movement, Russian ammonia pipelines to fertiliser factories would be permitted
uninterrupted, and Russia would be reconnected to SWIFT.
Predictably, none of that happened. It is astonishing that anyone could imagine that it would have happened, but Putin’s capacity to be deceived by his Western “partners” seems almost limitless.
Well, I said almost, but with any luck that limit has finally been reached.
It was not just that the Ukranazis’ Western
masters did not follow through on their own commitments to the grain deal: they
used it to arrange both the partly successful attacks on the Kerch Bridge, the
one last year and the one a few days ago.
Here’s how the bridge blast by an
explosives-rigged lorry last year went, as pieced together by Russian
intelligence:
A Ukranazi ship loaded with explosives sailed
out of Odessa as part of the grain deal, but instead of going south to Erdoğanistan it turned west and sailed up the Danube to an
inland port in Bulgaria.There it unloaded its explosives, which by a circuitous
route went through Georgia into Russia, where it was transferred to the final
lorry (whose driver had no idea what he was carrying) for shipment to Crimea
across the Kerch bridge. Once on the bridge, the lorry was exploded by a remote
controlled detonator.
This kind of thing is no longer
possible, since every vehicle is now X rayed and searched before being allowed
on the bridge. Multiple attempts at missile strikes on the bridge since then by
the Ukranazis with their Brutish-supplied Storm Shadow missiles have also
failed against the now heavy and layered Russian air defences. So the Ukranazis’
Western masters had to step in directly.
The second attack on the Kerch
Bridge was carried out by Brutish underwater drones released from a civilian
dry goods bulk carrier cargo ship, sailing as part of the Grain Deal, off Snake
Island. This followed Brutish plans to destroy the bridge [4]
hatched over months. Instead of destroying it, though, they managed to cause
actually rather less extensive damage
than the lorry bomb attempt. While one span of the road bridge was broken, the
other was undamaged, and the far more important railway bridge untouched. [5]
Military traffic to Crimea was not affected at all.
What the Ukranazis and their NATO
masters managed to do was murder a holidaying couple [6] and put
their 14-year-old daughter Angelina in a coma. This has not unnaturally led to
fury among Russian forces, and writing “For Angelina” on shells being fired at
the Ukranazis.
It has also led to many of the
blueyellow-ragwagging nazi worshippers online revealing just what kind of
hate-filled vermin [7] they are. Consider this character:
Fortunately, this one was so
stupid as to post under its real name, and has been speedily doxxed, with
everything including its address, email, and phone number exposed:
Hopefully it will soon receive a
visit from several large biker/trucker types. From reading online comment fora
I’m led to believe there’s a lot of sympathy among that demographic for Russia.
Meanwhile, Russia is making sure the Ukranazis and their NATOstani masters won’t be able to sneak grain (or “grain”) ships into and out of Ukranazistan by reducing the Odessa port facilities to scrap.[8]
In return for relatively minor damage
inflicted to the Kerch Bridge, I don’t know if the Ukranazis and their NATO
masters still think it’s been worth it.
Sources:
[3] https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/07/much-ado-about-nothing.html#comments
[4] https://thegrayzone.com/2023/07/19/leaked-files-british-kerch-bridge-strike/
[5] https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/kerch-bridge-deja-vu-breakdown
[7] https://awfulavalanche.wordpress.com/2023/07/19/ukraine-war-day-511-the-child-on-the-bridge/
[8] https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/putin-strikes-back-ukrainian-ports
