The End Of The Grain Deal And The Kerch Bridge Explosions

 

By now anyone remotely interested in the conflict in Ukranazistan will be aware that Russia terminated the Grain Deal that’s been in effect since 22 July 2022 and which allowed Ukranazistan to export grain from Odessa. In all probability the majority of those who are aware of it will have been made awar of it by the media shrieking that this will cause starvation in poor countries.

Will it?

This article,^[1] for instance, ends with:

"Terminating the grain deal will only bring higher food costs and shortages for countries that import agricultural products from Ukraine."

Here's the truth about where the grain from Ukranazistan goes:^[2] 

"China has been the main destination for cargo exports of Ukrainian grain at 8 million tonnes, followed by Spain at 6 million tonnes and Turkey at 3.2 million tonnes."

Only 2.5% of Ukrainian grain went to poor or developing countries according to the UN official data.

Low-income countries received 2.5% of the over 32 million tonnes of grain exported under the Black Sea Grain Initiative, according to figures by the United Nations (UN).

Of the 6 million tonnes sent to Spain, the vast majority went to feed pigs to make jamon. 

The majority of the 3.2 million tonnes to Erdoğanistan was processed into flour and sent right back to Ukranazistan. 

So, no, it won't. 

In fact, it won’t even significantly raise wheat prices, as Moon Of Alabama points out: ^[3]

“More wheat is coming to the markets from other producers than Ukraine. During the next year, even without grain from Ukraine, prices for wheat and corn may actually come down:

World wheat supplies are strong following exceptionally high exports from Australia and Russia and a rebound in Canadian shipments after droughts disrupted last year’s season. After falling for years, global stocks may finally rise in 2023. As for corn, Ukraine’s shortfall may well be filled by expected record sales from Brazil, reckons Alexis Ellender of Kpler, a data firm.

So this is much ado about nothing. Globally Ukraine just isn't important at all.”

Of course you wouldn’t know this from the usual media suspects, whose primary purpose is to blame Russia for everything.

If there is anything Russia is to be blamed for, it’s for signing the grain deal in the first place.

What were the terms of the grain deal? Ships from Odessa and Nikolayev would carry Ukranazistani grain – wheat and maize – to Erdoğanistan (that’s Turkey to you) where it would be inspected by Russian and Turkish officials to ascertain that there were no military supplies on board, after which it would be shipped on elsewhere.

In return Russian grain would be allowed free movement, Russian ammonia pipelines to fertiliser factories would be permitted uninterrupted, and Russia would be reconnected to SWIFT.

Predictably, none of that happened. It is astonishing that anyone could imagine that it would have happened, but Putin’s capacity to be deceived by his Western “partners” seems almost limitless.

Well, I said almost, but with any luck that limit has finally been reached.

It was not just that the Ukranazis’ Western masters did not follow through on their own commitments to the grain deal: they used it to arrange both the partly successful attacks on the Kerch Bridge, the one last year and the one a few days ago.

Here’s how the bridge blast by an explosives-rigged lorry last year went, as pieced together by Russian intelligence:

A Ukranazi ship loaded with explosives sailed out of Odessa as part of the grain deal, but instead of going south to Erdoğanistan it turned west and sailed up the Danube to an inland port in Bulgaria.There it unloaded its explosives, which by a circuitous route went through Georgia into Russia, where it was transferred to the final lorry (whose driver had no idea what he was carrying) for shipment to Crimea across the Kerch bridge. Once on the bridge, the lorry was exploded by a remote controlled detonator.

This kind of thing is no longer possible, since every vehicle is now X rayed and searched before being allowed on the bridge. Multiple attempts at missile strikes on the bridge since then by the Ukranazis with their Brutish-supplied Storm Shadow missiles have also failed against the now heavy and layered Russian air defences. So the Ukranazis’ Western masters had to step in directly.

The second attack on the Kerch Bridge was carried out by Brutish underwater drones released from a civilian dry goods bulk carrier cargo ship, sailing as part of the Grain Deal, off Snake Island. This followed Brutish plans to destroy the bridge ^[4] hatched over months. Instead of destroying it, though, they managed to cause actually rather less extensive damage than the lorry bomb attempt. While one span of the road bridge was broken, the other was undamaged, and the far more important railway bridge untouched. ^[5] Military traffic to Crimea was not affected at all.

What the Ukranazis and their NATO masters managed to do was murder a holidaying couple ^[6] and put their 14-year-old daughter Angelina in a coma. This has not unnaturally led to fury among Russian forces, and writing “For Angelina” on shells being fired at the Ukranazis.

It has also led to many of the blueyellow-ragwagging nazi worshippers online revealing just what kind of hate-filled vermin ^[7] they are. Consider this character:

 

It is allegedly a teacher.

Fortunately, this one was so stupid as to post under its real name, and has been speedily doxxed, with everything including its address, email, and phone number exposed:

 

Hopefully it will soon receive a visit from several large biker/trucker types. From reading online comment fora I’m led to believe there’s a lot of sympathy among that demographic for Russia.

Meanwhile, Russia is making sure the Ukranazis and their NATOstani masters won’t be able to sneak grain (or “grain”) ships into and out of Ukranazistan by reducing the Odessa port facilities to scrap.^[8]

In return for relatively minor damage inflicted to the Kerch Bridge, I don’t know if the Ukranazis and their NATO masters still think it’s been worth it.

 If it means Putin has been finally disillusioned about his western "partners", it's not been worth it at all.

Sources:

 

^[1] https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/wheat-prices-soar-russia-considers-ships-heading-ukraine-carriers-military-cargo

^[2] https://www.agriland.ie/farming-news/black-sea-grain-initiative-2-5-of-exports-to-low-income-countries/

^[3] https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/07/much-ado-about-nothing.html#comments

^[4] https://thegrayzone.com/2023/07/19/leaked-files-british-kerch-bridge-strike/

^[5] https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/kerch-bridge-deja-vu-breakdown

^[6] https://awfulavalanche.wordpress.com/2023/07/18/ukraine-war-day-510-innocent-victims-of-the-bridge-attack/

 ^[7] https://awfulavalanche.wordpress.com/2023/07/19/ukraine-war-day-511-the-child-on-the-bridge/

^[8] https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/putin-strikes-back-ukrainian-ports

 

Have you noticed?

 Gone are all those airy puff pieces talking about Ukranazistan's  inevitable  victory, as gone as those ten years ago predicting the "imminent and inevitable" fall of Assad. Gone is the triumphant air of imminent control of the world. The increasingly  desperate tone is that Ukranazistan cannot be allowed to lose because that would be a disaster for the "world". The "world", in this case, means the Wall Street warmongers, their political puppets, and the Europistani slaves, naturally.  And yet the only way that Ukranazistan's defeat can be staved off is an open NATO intervention,  but they can't risk that because Russia has been pushed to the point that it can't and won't back down. And yet Ukranazistan's  defeat will mean the economic ruination of Europistan, which thought it could recoup its losses from looting Ukranazistan and from "war reparations" from Russia. It is a conundrum that can't be solved without kicking out Uncle Sam, but kicking out Uncle Sam is impossible  because in order to spite Russia Europistan has sold itself to him as slaves and chattels even more completely than ever before. 

Meanwhile German tanks painted with WWII nazi cross insignia continue to burn in the fields of Ukranazistan. 

I don't know if the media that give the rainbow haired liberal freaks their daily outrage instructions have told them about it.

A pro Putin post from me?!? What's happening???

 

Let's just assume for the sake of argument that the claims that Prigozhin launched a NATO funded coup attempt to overthrow Putin are true.

Proponents of that hypothesis, who call Prigozhin a "traitor", are claiming that he should have been killed or arrested, and it was weakness on Putin's part to let him go free.

No.

It wasn't weakness. 

1. Russia has no death penalty. Prigozhin couldn't have been just summarily given a bullet to the head.

2. Prigozhin was not in the convoy headed to Moscow, he stayed in Rostov. This means:

(a) He would either have to be arrested somehow after fighting a city battle past 6000 highly experienced and heavily armed Wagner soldiers and brought to trial, or

(b) The military  HQ in Rostov bombed to rubble to kill him.

Any of this would have resulted in massive numbers of civilian and regular troops being killed. And the regular forces going to Rostov were Chechens. Chechens killing Russians in a Russian city? It would be a NATOstani wet dream. It would've immediately made divisions between Russians and Chechens flare up again.

In short, trying to kill Prigozhin is exactly what the NATOstanis would have loved. This way Putin got rid of Prigozhin without turning anyone against Russia.

Seems a good way to deal with it to me.

A POSTMORTEM OF THE PRIGOZHIN PUTSCH

I wrote the previous article when the March On Moscow was still going on, and I had explicitly compared it to the Kornilov Coup of 1917. If anything,  24 and a bit hours after it ended, the comparison is more apt than ever. Consider:

1. Both Prigozhin and Kornilov would never have carried out their coup attempts unless they had reason to believe that they had substantial  support in the capital. Kornilov thought he had been asked by Kerensky to purge Petrograd of all the revolutionary groups and "restore order". Prigozhin,  you can be absolutely certain of this, could never have believed he and his 8000 or so men* would have been able to capture power or even impose terms such as the removal of Shoigu and Gerasimov unless he thought he had substantial support in the capital and the government. It is not possible.

2. In both cases the movements  fizzled as participating  troops dropped out and the support failed to materialise.

3. Both Kornilov and Prigozhin could well be deemed guilty of high treason, but both were let off with a slap on the wrist (in Prigozhin's case it can't even be called that).

[*Just 8000 of the at least 33000-strong Wagner took part in the March On Moscow, and it appears most of those 8000 didn't even know what they were really doing. They thought they were being redeployed. And all of them are now to be brought under the Ministry of Defence (MoD), not punished in any way.]

The question I want answered is this:

How is it possible,  is it at all credible,  that the MoD didn't know what was happening?

Wagner was set up with the help of Russian  military intelligence,  GRU. It is staffed with regular military and GRU officers, and most of its troops are former regular  soldiers, not the "convicts with shovels" fantasies of the Westernaganda. Its so called "deputy" commander, General Mizintsev,  was until very recently logistics commander in the Artëmovsk front before overnight turning into a Wagner top officer. Its Soledar and Artëmovsk  field commander, call sign Lotus,  is a former regular officer who's fought in Syria,  Libya, and the Central African Republic before this. Neither Lotus nor Mizintsev participated in the putsch; the only known Wagner leader bar Prigozhin who did was the shadowy Dmitri Utkin, who may actually be Prigozhin's boss.

So how is it possible that the MoD didn't know what was in the offing?

Simple answer: it could not have not known. It is a sheer impossibility.

That's apart from the video now going around from a few weeks ago of an interview between the Russian military blogger Wargonzo (real name Simën Pegov) and Prigozhin where the former outright tells Prigozhin that the MoD is restricting Wagner's ammunition to prevent it from conducting a coup in Moscow. The MoD knew, all right.

So why didn't it do anything about it?

Many people online are operating on the assumption that this proves this was a coordinated farce between Putin and Prigozhin. I have no reason to believe that, simply because the same thing could have been achieved without any "coup" attempt. The only other explanation I can think of is that the coup was permitted to go ahead, and fizzle, to put Wagner under the MoD, just what Prigozhin  had been resisting all along.

There is a fourth similarity to the Kornilov Coup I'll predict:

105 years after the Kornilov Coup we still don't know for sure what happened.

We won't find out this time either.

WAGNER'S INSURRECTION AND THE KORNILOV AFFAIR

 

In August 1917 General Lavr Kornilov marched his army on Petrograd (St Petersburg), the capital of Russia. 

This was not something that suddenly happened overnight. Kornilov, a Cossack, was a brilliant linguist who in his youth had done extensive exploration of the Caucasus and his native Siberia, learnt numerous local languages, and as an army officer commanded troops from that part of the Russian Empire. They were called the "Savage Division" by the effete St Petersburg Tsarist Court favourites who ran the military, but of course they loved Kornilov, who spoke their languages and lived like them. 

Then came WWI, and Kornilov - like his sometime commander Brusilov - was one of the few competent, indeed brilliant, generals of the Russian army. He used proactive and aggressive tactics with a lot of initiative, at one point even breaking into the Hungarian heartland. But like Brusilov, Kornilov repeatedly faced the problem of corrupt and useless court favourite generals like Sukhomlinov and Rennenkampf, who did nothing to support their offensives, and a lot of whom were more concerned with enriching themselves than fighting the war*, and repeatedly had to withdraw from war winning positions as a result.

[*Alan Clark in Suicide Of The Empires, his book on the Eastern Front in WWI, quotes a French manufacturer who bid for a contract with the Tsarist regime to supply tents for the army. The Tsarist official deputed to negotiate terms demanded a gigantic bribe to approve the bid. The manufacturer protested that if he paid that much, he would be left with no profit at all on the deal. "Ah," said the official, (with, Clark says, a silky smile) "I understand. But why supply the tents at all?"]

Then came the February Revolution in Russia, the Tsarist regime fell, and the expectation was that the new Provisional Government would extricate Russia from the by now extremely unpopular war. Instead, Kerensky, the Minister of War, launched an offensive in July called the Kerensky Offensive in the expectation that a victory of sorts would unite the people behind the war. The offensive was a disaster, and instead led to days of rioting in Petrograd. Kerensky became prime minister and responded by making Kornilov the commander of the army. He then possibly ordered him to march on Petrograd to restore order. [Many historians think that Kerensky deliberately deceived Kornilov in order to get an excuse to intimidate his socialist political opponents including the Bolsheviks of the Petrograd Soviet.] Instead, Kornilov interpreted it as his duty to either make himself military dictator of Russia or else the power broker who would impose authority at the point of a gun over the chaos of the Provisional Government and the breakdown at the front.

Kerensky suddenly was faced with a monster of his own making. He dismissed Kornilov by telegram, but that had zero effect, since Kornilov simply assumed Kerensky was now a prisoner of the Bolsheviks, Mensheviks, and other factions in the capital. Meanwhile the Bolsheviks used their contacts in the Russian railway network to sabotage the progress of the Kornilov forces, and their own men in those forces to persuade the soldiers to drop out. Kornilov's army broke up before reaching Petrograd, quite bloodlessly, and the coup came to an end. However, it dramatically weakened Kerensky and strengthened the Bolsheviks, directly aiding in the November Revolution.

[What happened to Kornilov? He was arrested by the Kerensky regime, but "escaped" - basically his own guards let him out and joined up with him - and went on to fight in the Civil War on the White side. He was killed by Red artillery in 1918.]

Now look at the current situation with regard to Wagner. Even Putin has admitted that the Russian military was full of incompetent "parquet generals", and it's not exactly a secret that said generals did not perform professionally in combat.

In April 2022 and then again in September, territory won by hard fighting and bloodshed was abandoned without a shot because the generals did not take the proper steps to reinforce them in time. Prigozhin, meanwhile, is a man who shares the privations of his troops, has in many cases given them a way out of prison, visits them on the frontline, travels with them in the hold of a cargo plane eating what they eat, and not surprisingly they love him and feel a sense of loyalty to him.

This same Prigozhin feels - rightly or wrongly - that Gerasimov and Shoigu are corrupt and incompetent, and either thinks or claims to think that it is his duty to rescue Russia from them and the rest of the "parquet generals". He hasn't said a word against Putin to this moment, but exactly like Kornilov has refused to lay down his arms even after orders from the top authority (Putin in this case). His forces are moving on Moscow, just as Kornilov moved on Petrograd. And it is all but certain that his march will not succeed like Kornilov's didn't. 

But just as Kerensky's own actions precipitated the Kornilov Coup, Putin's failure to act in time, either against Prigozhin or against the "parquet generals", created the current situation. This is in the DNA of the Putinist system: it is never proactive, it always puts off even reacting to any situation until no further postponement is possible, and then it does all it can to just restore the status quo. Not even the status quo ante, just the status quo.

In any case, this proves that the armchair generals who have been insisting for the last 9 years that Russia couldn't have destroyed the nazis in 2014 because it needed time to prepare for war were talking through their hats...while calling those of us who repeatedly said Russia should have invaded in 2014 trolls, idiots, etc. 

We were right, they were wrong. If Russia had prepared for 8 years there would have been no need for Wagner to be fighting in this conflict at all.

The SMO is Done

 

Hello, everyone reading this.

 

This is one of the hardest things I have ever had to write, and if you think Putin is a genius or a 5D Chess Player or whatever, you might as well stop reading now.

 

In brief: The Russian Special Military Operation, or SMO, is over. It has failed, totally and absolutely.

 

We were lied to, it appears, from the beginning. We were lied to about Russian aims, Russian plans, and Russian abilities. And this is the result.

 

If you still believe this Kharkov Offensive is some kind of genius masterstroke by Putin, some enormously wonderfully constructed “trap”, you are either in need of a brain transplant or your name is The Faker or Andrei Martyanov.

 

Russia lost in Kharkov. It wasn’t the result of a “trap”, it wasn’t a “strategic retreat”, it was a rout, and the analogy in terms of the effect are not – as some people are comparing it to – the Battle Of The Bulge in WWII, but the Tet Offensive of 1968 in the Vietnam War.

 

What was the Tet Offensive? It was the mass attack all across South Vietnam by the Viet Cong, which suddenly and rapidly overwhelmed the defences of the South Vietnamese puppet regime and their American masters. The city of Hue was among the places liberated; a Viet Cong suicide squad even penetrated the American Embassy in what is now Ho Chi Minh City.

 

Now for three years the American Empire had been telling its subjects, as well as the rest of the world, that the Viet Cong had been defeated, that they were on the ropes, and yet here they were rampaging through South Vietnam and shooting up even the vaunted American Embassy.

 

So what happened? In the end the Viet Cong were pushed back with every single thing they had captured being taken back by the Americans and their puppets. The Viet Cong also suffered such devastating losses – 35000 guerrillas and main force regulars killed – that it never recovered. From 1968 to the end of the war in 1975, Viet Cong activity was low to nonexistent.

 

But so what? Behind the Viet Cong, ready to take over, was the North Vietnamese People’s Army. From 1968 on, the bulk of all the fighting was done by the NVPA; there was little to no VC activity.

 

And what happened? The world saw that the American Empire was clearly lying; the faith of the American people in their regime was irretrievably broken; and from that moment on the final defeat of American though still distant, was as clear as day.

 

This, ladies and gentlemen, is the Tet Offensive moment in Russia-Ukraine. From this moment on no sane person should believe a single thing the Russian Ministry of Defence has to say.

 

This is a defeat so overwhelming that at this point, and I will explain why, there are only two options before Russia:

 

1.       Stop the conflict immediately, negotiate peace on any terms available – it will certainly involve throwing the Lugansk and Donetsk People’s Republics under the blueyellow nazi bus and gigantic “reparations” payments – and withdraw from Ukranazistan. If the negotiations go very well, Russia might just be permitted to keep Crimea, though I doubt it.

Or:

 

2.       To hell with the “special military operation”; stop the rubbish. This is a war, declared or undeclared; start fighting it like one. Turn Elensky and the rest of the nazi regime into a smoking hole in the ground. If that involves massive collateral damage, so be it.

 

What cannot be done is continue things as they are.

 

What has been happening over the last couple of months?

 

First, after the capture of Lisichansk, Russian advances practically stopped. Most of the Russian army, in fact, went home; there were only about 50000 regular soldiers left in Ukrainian territory. The advances, such as they were, depended entirely on the heroic fighting of Chechen volunteer units, the Wagner PMC, and the Russian Rosgvardia paramilitary.

 

The constant missile attacks on nazi ammunition and weapons depots in Lvov and other parts of western Ukranazistan, such a constant feature of the first three or so months of the conflict, dried up. Absolutely inexplicably – even gross incompetence cannot explain this – the bridges across the Dneiper river, and the railway networks that the nazi regime used to haul every bit of weaponry  coming to the front haven’t been touched. Even a mindless clod knows to cut off the enemy supply routes, but the Russian High Command, assuming such a beast exists, did not do it.

 

Meanwhile the Lugansk and especially the Donetsk People’s Republics forces were virtually left to themselves to fight their way with excruciating slowness through the massive trench lines and fortifications the nazis had set up in the eight years since 2014 when Putin had thrown the Donbass under the nazi bus the first time round (see the book “85 Days In Slavyansk” for a full analysis of Putin’s betrayal if you aren’t already familiar with the details). Since the 16^th of February, nazi artillery in Avdeevka and Mariinka have been shelling and anti personnel mining Donetsk City, yet the Russian aviation, which allegedly controls the skies over Ukranazistan, did nothing to destroy the emplacements. When we asked why not, we were told that the Nazis were hiding among civilians. Well, so what? Are the lives of Donetsk civilians worth less than the lives of the alleged civilians of Avdeevka? Nobody deigned to give us an answer.

 

There was also the deliberate myth created by the Russian side that it was only the Nazis that were targeting the Donetsk civilians, that regular Ukrainian forces were not involved. This was, as any number of LNR and DNR people pointed out, absurd; the Ukrainian military had never permitted the nazi units to acquire any heavier artillery than light mortars. It was the regular forces shelling the civilians, but the Russian military refused to admit that.

 

Pro-Russia channels on Telegram delighted in videos of DNR quadcopters dropping grenades on Ukrainian troops (impossible to tell whether they were nazis or not). Their accuracy, judging from the videos, was fairly impressive (of course they only posted videos of hits) but, and this was a problem those of us familiar with the tactics of the Syrian war instantly noticed, this is not something a regular military should have to resort to doing. This is what ISIS, and with considerably greater effect, using bigger drones and mortar bombs instead of hand grenades, did in the Battle of Mosul. Not only did the DNR have to slog through fortifications by itself, it had to resort to the tactics of a terrorist group to provide itself a modicum of air strike ability.

 

Not that Russia helped in other ways either; to this day, almost seven months since the conflict started, the Russian side has not set up a unified command for the “allies” (LNR and DNR) and itself.  It’s as though D Day was fought as a number of separate landings, with the Brits, Canadians, and Americans doing their own, totally independent, thing. Can one imagine that to be a recipe for success?

 

 Then, mutters began to come out about “negotiations” again; the negotiations that the Ukranazis had abandoned in March, reportedly at the instigation of Boorish Johnson. What were these “negotiations” supposed to be about?

 

Who knows?

 

What, in fact, was the Russian final plan for Ukranazistan? Denazification? Then why is Elensky still alive? Why has not one nazi in Ukranazistan, including rabid Hitler-saluting vermin like Oleg Tyagnybok, been eliminated? How do you denazify a nazi state without eliminating the regime?

 

(I might as well insert here the ludicrous replies I encountered when I asked this question.  “Russia needs Elensky alive because he might be replaced by someone competent.” Oh yeah? Who? You also acknowledged that Ukranazistan is a NATO puppet. So the hypothetical ‘competent’ person won’t be a puppet like Elensky is? Or was it “Russia need Elensky alive to sign the surrender”? What surrender? Who would permit Elensky to sign a surrender, his NATO masters? Instead of making him a martyr by murdering him and blaming it on Russia, or at least spiriting him off to head a puppet regime in exile? Really?)

 

Or was it demilitarisation? Then how is it that the Ukranazis were permitted to build up a military so strong that, even without control of the air, it could launch two major offensives on two widely separated fronts of the very, very long frontline within days of each other? That one of the offensives was a predictable failure and the other might, like the Tet Offensive, still fail militarily in the long run makes no difference. Putin isn’t out to demilitarise anything.

 

Then what’s left? Preventing Ukranazistan from joining NATO? Elensky already admitted months ago that this was not going to happen; ironically it is now more than likely to happen if Russia is defeated.

 

Is it capture of Ukranazi territory? Then why did Russia unilaterally abandon the whole of north Ukranazistan – won in a couple of days back in February – in April?

 

Is it an “existential war” for Russia as some people are saying? Then why is it Ukranazistan that’s treating it as an existential war, while Russia isn’t treating it as a war at all? How does that make sense?

 

What is Russia then fighting for? I’m damned if I know, and, apparently, the Russian government doesn’t, either.

 

Anyway, back to this offensive on Kharkov; at the time of writing Russia abandoned territory it had captured in brutal battles over two months in 72 hours, abandoning the civilians to the tender mercies of the Nazis. These were the same civilians who had earlier appeared on videos profusely thanking Russia for liberating them, and more and more often openly demanding guarantees that they wouldn’t be abandoned. Well, they have been abandoned, and why should they trust Russia again?

 

Why should anyone trust Russia again?

 

And here we come to the comparison with the Tet Offensive again. Ukrainian army chief General Valery Zaluzhny – and I have been saying this for months on Telegram  and Twitter (till they banned me again, which was a good thing in retrospect though it cost me more than 3600 followers because I couldn’t take the Putin cultism now) – General Zaluzhny, who isn’t a nazi, is a highly competent and utterly ruthless professional officer far more like a WWII Soviet general than like anyone on the Russian general staff, assuming such a thing exists. Zaluzhny is throwing conscripts and Kraken Battalion Nazis (the Kharkov franchise of the infamous Azov Regiment) into attack as shock troops, and holding back his regular forces to exploit the breakthroughs. In other words, he’s throwing away his Viet Cong, and when they’re gone he’ll still have his North Vietnamese People’s Army.

 

So what, exactly has Ukranazistan won?

 

Firstly it’s won the – even if terrified and coerced – allegiance of the people. If there are people in Odessa and Nikolayev waiting for liberation from Russia, they aren’t blind, deaf, and dumb; they can see clearly that even if their cities are occupied by Russia they will be abandoned the moment a nazi offensive shows up. Why then should they do anything but support Ukranazistan, just for self-preservation? Wouldn’t you?

 

Secondly, and you can’t overstate how important this is, it’s a major step towards winning the support of the neutral world. You know all the maps showing how no non white nation except American slaves Japan and South Korea had sanctioned Russia? Well, most of the rest were going with who they saw as winning. Earlier this year 143 countries at the UN General Assembly voted to condemn Russia; a week or so ago that number had dropped to 54. It only takes a nudge to turn the pendulum the other way again. I myself know Modi will change sides in a moment if he thinks it'll be good for him.

 

(I would say that in this the death of Lizardbreath von Saxe Coburg und Gotha was extremely fortuitous for Russia. The Ukranazis had more likely than not planned to splurge their victory all over the world media, but the media is obsessing over her death and the succession of Charlie von Saxe Coburg und Gotha to the British throne. Nobody has any attention left to spare for Ukranazistan.)

 

Now to get to the third thing the Ukranazis have won, I have to discuss the Putin cult’s “cope” to explain away the defeat:

 

(a)Russia is massacring the Ukranazis, they can’t fight on like this, they’re going to lose all their forces. That is, the exact same body count “argument” as made in Vietnam; it didn’t work then and it won’t work now. While 70 year old conscripts are getting sacrificed, the trained and battle hardened regulars and nazi groups are getting, if anything, more numerous. And that’s if we ignore the NATOstani troops “on holiday” or “discharged” who have come to Ukranazistan as “volunteers”. Those who have been reading me for a while know that I have been predicting for at least three years that Putin’s failure to denazify Ukraine in 2014 means that Russia will have to fight a major war in Ukraine at some point and then it will face NATO forces in Ukrainian uniform. Well, guess what.

 

Even the venerable Paul Craig Roberts, though mostly a ranting old loon these days, correctly stated in a recent article that NATO was emboldened by Putin’s failure to crush Ukranazistan in February, and it will cost Russia dear, including possible nuclear war. I don’t think Putin has the competence or guts to fight a nuclear war, not any longer; he’d fold like a wet biscuit and surrender Russia to western capital rather than fight for its existence. More importantly, now the west knows it, too.

 

(b)Putin is deliberately drawing this out to destroy the EU, whose citizens will revolt when they’re freezing and starving in the depths of winter. To which I say, poppycock. There isn’t even a guarantee that the winter will be cold, what with weather swings these days. It could even be a much warmer one than usual. But even if it’s a mini ice age, so what? Apart from France, how many Europistani countries do you know where people come out in the streets to rebel and riot? Oh, yes, they’ll march in “protests”, wave placards, and then go home; if the regime feels like it, it’ll imprison a few of them as an example to keep the rest in line. Nothing more will happen. As for France, the Macron regime has weathered years of Yellow Vest protests. It knows how to deal with them.

 

But will there even be protests? Protests are only going to happen if the people see that Russia is clearly and demonstrably winning.  Then they might logically ask why they are told to freeze and starve for a losing side. But if Russia is seen to be quagmire or losing – and it is now clearly seen to be losing – then the people will tell themselves that they can grit their teeth and bear it somehow for the winning cause. Haven’t you seen this kind of thing for two years of Covid? Would you be surprised at all?

 

The fourth and final thing the Nazis have won is the full and continuing support of the NATOstanis. So far we’ve been hearing how NATO weapons depots are bare, they’re running out of things to supply; but now they’re demonstrably backing a winning side, so why should they stop? In their place, would you?

 

What does the Putin Cult have to offer in return? Ludicrous claims of massive and brilliantly planned pincer movements that will trap the Ukranazis. Yes, and Steiner will come to Hitler’s rescue in the bunker.

 

I’ve put my non-working life on hold since February for this conflict. I’ve put my novel on ice at 75% written. I went back to Twitter after a three year hiatus, fighting for Russia against blueyellow Ukranazis. I’ve painted and drawn comic strips as fast as I could until I gave myself tendinitis. And all with a fractured foot which I got in June.

 

Now I’m asking myself, why the hell should I care, if Russia doesn’t?

 

Either way, Russia has a choice. Fight a real war, or surrender on the least humiliating terms it can get.

 

The SMO is done.